Why Pennsylvania should make Democrats feel good about their chances of taking back the House
canada goose clearance sale Even if Democrat Conor Lamb loses Tuesday’s too close to call special election in Pennsylvania, his party can declare victory. They gave Republicans a run for their money in classic Trump country: mostly white, working class, high school educated suburbs in a swing state. buy canada goose uk This Pittsburgh area congressional district voted for President Trump by 20 points in 2016. Now, the race is so close we may not canada goose outlet winnipeg address know the winner for days. canada goose clearance sale
Canada Goose Online That Democratseven came close to winning this seat should buoy their optimism about their chances of taking back control of the House of Representatives this November. Here’s why: Canada Goose Online
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Those120 congressional districts aren’t all https://www.canadagooseoutlete.com suddenly in play after Tuesday there were unique factors about this special election that won’t necessarily translate to November.
uk canada goose But the fact that Democrats were competitive in such a Republican leaning district makes the 24 seats they need to net in Novemberlook much more feasible. uk canada goose
Canada Goose Parka Well before this special election, Democrats were already optimistic they could win back a sizable number of canada goose outlet locations in toronto the 23 seats controlled by House Republicans in districts that Hillary Clinton won in November. They were buoyed by coming close in special elections in deep red Georgia and by winning a Senate special election in Alabama. Now, their confidence is through the roof that those 23 seats canada goose outlet toronto factory are in play. Canada Goose Parka
“We can win everywhere,” an optimistic Democratic National Committee chairman, Tom Perez, said Wednesday morning canada goose outlet store quebec on CNN.
Democrats are outperforming Hillary Clinton. In a non presidential year: Depending on the final result in Pennsylvania, Lamb will have gotten canada goose parka uk about 20 more percentage points in votes than Clinton did, with all of her campaign’s presidential might behind her.
Republicans argue that it’s natural for the party out of power to perform well after a presidential election. But Democrats are performing really well.
According to data by left leaning political blog Daily Kos, Democrats outperformed Clinton by 15 to 20 percentage points in 2017 special elections in South Carolina, Montana and Kansas.
At the statehouse level, Democrats have flipped some 35 seats since Trump’s election and outperformed Clinton by massive margins such as 20, 30, 40 and even 50 percent in states where they don’t normally win big, including Oklahoma and Missouri. The Daily Kos also finds that on average, Democrats are outperforming President Barack Obama’s 2012 numbers in these districts.
Canada Goose sale Democrats won the Senate District 37 special in Oklahoma. Early indications are that turnout was higher than usual in Pennsylvania’s special election. Canada Goose sale
buy canada goose jacket cheap And in last week’s Texas primaries, Democrats managed to get1 million voters to the polls their best showing in a midterm primary there in 16 years. (Though, as I point out here, Texas Republicans got 1.5 million voters out to turn out, tempering any hope of a blue wave in Texas.) buy canada goose jacket cheap
canada goose store Democrats aredoing well in polling:If you had to choose right now between electing a Democrat or a Republican to Congress, even if you didn’t know their names or policies, whom would you choose? In polls over the past canada goose outlet trillium parka black month that have asked this, voters say they would choose a generic Democrat over a generic Republican by an average of 10 points. Election forecasters say canada goose outlet Democrats need a six to eight point advantage in this kind of poll, called a generic ballot, to win a House majority. Democrats have consistently been ahead of that range. canada goose store
Democrats had a chance to get more comfortable with red state Democratic messages:Democrats from Alaska to Colorado have been arguing sinceClinton’s loss that theirwing of the party cannot be ignored if Democrats ever want to regain power in Washington and the states. And yet, they have watched as the party’s more liberal branch impresses purity tests upon its leaders:
canadian goose jacket Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D Calif.), who has said Trump could be a “good president,” canada goose outlet mall didn’t receive the endorsement of California’s Democratic Party in her bid for reelection. The snub boosts her primary challenger, State Senate leader Kevin de Len, who has literally accused Trump of not having a soul. House Democrats’ campaign arm has also refused to support an antiabortion congressman running for reelection in Chicago, Rep. Daniel Lipinski (D Ill.), as he faces a primary challenger from the left. Nancy Pelosi (D Calif.) as the leader of House Democrats, neutralizing a Republican attack against him, and he campaigned on loving to shoot his gun canadian goose jacket.